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Doubao, Tongyi Qianwen, DeepSeek Accurately Predicted Spain's World Cup Victory One Month in Advance

Published: Source: X: Ayi AI Notes (@AYi_AInotes)

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Three domestic AI models—Doubao, Tongyi Qianwen, and DeepSeek—all predicted Spain to win the World Cup over a month before the tournament, with win probabilities locked in the 25%-26% range, aligning with Goldman Sachs Opta's professional model data. The three models were not swayed by public opinion or the defending champion's aura, quantifying variables such as squad depth, tactical fit, schedule advantages, and venue impact to output stable probability judgments. Although the second-ranked prediction, France, ultimately finished fourth, the core champion prediction was consistent, seen as a clear signal that quantitative sports models have reached a practical stage.

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